I soliti consigli (disinteressati) di GS

Pubblicato il 3 Agosto 2010 da Veronica Baker

EEMSPY

Forza relativa degli emergenti rispetto allo Spoore

oil423

Oil rompe al rialzo il trading range

MANUFACTURING AT A GLANCE
JULY 2010
IndexSeries
Index
July
Series
Index
June
Percentage
Point
Change
DirectionRate
of
Change
Trend*
(Months)
PMI55.556.2-0.7GrowingSlower12
New Orders53.558.5-5.0GrowingSlower13
Production57.061.4-4.4GrowingSlower14
Employment58.657.8+0.8GrowingFaster8
Supplier Deliveries58.357.3+1.0SlowingFaster14
Inventories50.245.8+4.4GrowingFrom Contracting1
Customers’ Inventories39.038.0+1.0Too LowSlower16
Prices57.557.0+0.5IncreasingFaster13
Backlog of Orders54.557.0-2.5GrowingSlower7
Exports56.556.0+0.5GrowingFaster13
Imports52.556.5-4.0GrowingSlower11
OVERALL ECONOMYGrowingSlower15
Manufacturing SectorGrowingSlower12

ISM  in declino anche se migliore delle aspettative .

E Goldman cosa consiglia ?

Long :

Recommending a short Sep 2010 VIX position
We are recommending a short September 2010 VIX position, currently near 27.50, with a target of 22 and a stop of 30. We view this trade as a way of trading continued compression in elevated risk premium in a “carry-positive” way, above and beyond any directional view on the business cycle (though there are certainly elements of that here too).

Mah, aspettiamoci un aumento della volatilità dei prossimi giorni, anche se è molto probabile che ad Agosto si continui a salire , come ad esempio l’anno scorso.

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